Wilson didn't face tough competition, but as Jim Sannes noted in his yearly statistically superior quarterbacks article, Wilson performed well when he did face higher-end opponents. The landing spot was big for Moore, at least. . A behind the scene look at ranking methodology and individual rankings vs the consensus. Overall, I felt it was definitely worth the money to have what I consider to be exceptional "beat the fantasy market" content. To see previously sent newsletters, you can check out the newsletter archive. , and that helped give him a high-end breakout age. JJ Zachariason: East Coast Dad. Weather info Powered by Dark Sky. So, yes, it's possible that San Francisco ends up liking Elijah Mitchell more than Trey Sermon. Find out more, Have questions or need some help? Hubbard landed on a team that'll use him as nothing more than a change-of-pace backup. I just can't shake the fact that Atwell weighed in at 155 pounds at his Pro Day. 326. I think the guide covers more than the podcast (especially for referencing things), but totally get it if you thought some of it was redundant. Keith Jackson (@dynasty_jax) February 25, 2023. By registering, you indicate that you agree to the Terms Of Service. When you get to this point in your rookie draft -- especially this year's rookie draft -- you're looking for some sort of story you can tell about a player that shows that he has upside. If St. Brown can grab hold of the slot role, perhaps we'll see him be, The thing is, he's built like a running back, and he sort of plays like a running back -- he was often compared to, in the pre-draft process, and Montgomery was also selected by the Packers back in 2015. You'll receive a spreadsheet each week with the same information JJ looks at for his analysis, along with season-long and dynasty rankings. Log in now! Josh Reynolds is currently the team's number-two option, and despite being a run-heavy team, there's some opportunity for a 70- or 80-target season from a non-A.J. If it's too expensive for you, don't buy it. This is my first year doing this by myself, so comments about the stuff I'm creating is really, really helpful. Dynasty Crossroads Episode 258 - JJ Zachariason. To get the full benefits of numberFire, please sign up. Not only that, but the opportunity cost for Buffalo being more pass-heavy was smaller than it would be for Baltimore. At least Burrow was highly, highly regarded. I've also been listening to JJ for what feels like too long. He scored as a 74th percentile running back in my model post-draft -- that's nothing to write home about. Until August, we dont know exactly who will be drafted where in most rookie drafts. Host of the award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast &@LiveTheStreamFF. Now, all our premium tools for Fantasy and Betting are included in one subscription at one low price. Find details and individual feeds for all of these podcasts, as well as a ton of dynasty fantasy football content at https://dynastyleaguefootball.com. This spot feels right, all things considered. The DLF Dynasty Podcast #557 Off-Season Player Movement Mock Draft & A Combine Preview, Trade Addicts Podcast 252 Episode Names are Hard to Think of, Dynasty Theory 192 2023 Quarterback Movement, The DLF Dynasty Podcast #556 Rookie ADP & More Coaching Talk. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 23Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 4Post-Draft Positional Rank: 2Tier: 6. Instead of a player like Montgomery, though, Green Bay's hoping they have more of a, He just wasn't overly productive, and it's tough to get super excited about landing with arguably the worst run organization in sports. That type of rushing production will give him a little more leeway to develop as a passer in the NFL. Go to builtbar.com and use . In 2023, Brady will likely be gone; but unfortunately, Leonard Fournette is locked up through the end of that season. If he can't emerge as a receiver under those circumstances, it wasn't happening. Which three 2nd year WRs should fantasy owners be buying this off-season? He had one of the best scores of any prospect in my model before last week's event, and he's now a 96th percentile prospect in my model. His production then dipped pretty dramatically last year, and the rest is history. Those are all great signs. After he went 20th in the NFL draft, it's impossible not to rank Kenny Pickett as the Superflex QB1 and believe me, I've tried. He also lays out his own approach at the position and lists a few . Pat Kerrane is the co-host of Ship Chasing, an avid high stakes player and a full blown "dynasty guy." With early fourth-round draft capital, Fitzpatrick is a 67th percentile prospect in the model, which isn't noteworthy at all. Mock Draft Trainer. 783 episodes totalling 227 hours, 19 minutes. He should be able to capture receiving work right away, and since the New York running back room is lacking, he could see a good chunk of early-down work, too. For a bit it felt like we (dynasty community, Fantasy analysts, pundits, draft experts) were on the same page (elite skills and body control, some light concern about top end speed) - top 3 WR. Williams may have to play a year in a tandem, but it'll probably be his backfield in 2022. That's what we've got with Elijah Mitchell. If you're drafting Amari Rodgers in rookie drafts, you're hoping his new quarterback, Aaron Rodgers, stays put in Green Bay. Get . The problem I have with this logic is that we can't assume Lamar Jackson makes the historic passing efficiency leap that Josh Allen made, and we can't assume Rashod Bateman is as impactful of a player as Stefon Diggs is, even if we love Bateman. Today on this sub I've learned that you definitely should not buy anything from Ratcliffe, but you definitely should from JJ. James Snook-USA TODAY Sports. And the air horns. Jahan Dotson can hit his ceiling, and I think I'll be just fine with my fade call. The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast, Mailbag 2/24/23. In the slot as a Freshman and Sophomore, though, St. Brown competed production-wise with teammate Michael Pittman Jr., and that helped give him a high-end breakout age. JJ answers those questions as he goes over his post-draft rankings. JJ wrote an e-book called The Late-Round Quarterback in 2012. I'm happy to hear that there isn't that much information that is gatekept from the average audience, but also want him to be successful and hope the stuff he keeps behind the gate can keep him doing what he's doing. Find out how. It's just that he's towards the bottom of that tier now as opposed to being close to the top. Join the Late-Round Fantasy Football Patreon community for exclusive access to, The Late-Round Prospect Guide is a downloadable PDF that includes. Post-Published Note: After more thought, Jaylen Waddle has been bumped down into Tier 4. Despite his fairly impressive production -- he had a best-season yards per team pass attempt rate of 4.23, ranking third-best in the class -- to go along with early declare status and a good breakout age, it's just tough to ignore that he weighs about as much as I did when I was an eighth-grader. Sure, that landed me Daniel Jones and Zach Wilson, but I also drafted Justin Herbert. Fields still made significant gains as a passer, improving in completion %, TD %, interception %, yards per attempt, adjusted yards per attempt, quarterback rating, and QBR. DeVonta Smith is a post-draft riser for a couple of reasons. The draft started quarterback-heavy, with eight passers and four running backs . Corral has a decently high ceiling as a willing scrambler with accuracy and has enough weapons around him to succeed right away. JJ Zachariason has the perfect Skyy Moore comp, and I'm mad I didn't think of it. He had a strong Freshman season at Alabama where he outproduced first-round talent like the aforementioned Smith and Henry Ruggs. There's also a Discord for this tier, where members talk all things fantasy football. That's a recipe for disaster. 165 Summer St, Andover MA, 01810 | (617) 684-5972. He was my pre-draft WR2 for a reason. He's already 24 years old, he's not an early declare after playing five seasons at Western Michigan, he played at a smaller program, and he only had one good year of production. The Ravens took Rashod Bateman in the first round last week. . In other words, 2023 is an ideal class to trade up in. Sucks about the charts, I feel that I can create some baller ass tableau charts that get me the same data, but by then my head is so deep in data I forget the football. For example, the record holder for rushing yards in a season at the quarterback position, Lamar Jackson, has four of the top 14 rushing seasons all-time for quarterbacks and has never finished worse than QB8 in points per game in his four starting seasons. If the A.J. Najee Harris was at the top of my pre-draft rookie rankings, and then he was selected by the Steelers in Round 1, giving him the best landing spot of any running back in this class. I would be less concerned with their outsized touchdown scoring if their target shares were elite, but Watsons 15.2% share and Dotsons 15.9% share were just okay. Stop stealing our stuff and ripping off our features, please. Hey, everyone! I see the clearest path to long-term starting roles for Jeremy Ruckert and Daniel Bellinger, but there's no shame in panic-picking Isaiah Likely. Melvin Gordon, at the very latest, will be gone next season when he becomes a free agent. Thanks to that incredibly high yards per team pass attempt rate, Eskridge checks in around the 85th percentile mark in my model. The Fantasy Playbook Podcast with Kyle Yates. Injury Guide. In addition, the Lions can save nearly $26 million by cutting Jared Goff after the season, giving them a chance to find a quarterback who better meshes with Williams' elite downfield skillset. But, hey, my spreadsheets and I will be wrong plenty. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 13Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 9Post-Draft Positional Rank: 9Tier: 7. Dynasty Pros Currently Online. By a lot. He's one of 11 drafted wide receivers with a best-season yards per team attempt rate north of 3.0, and with a strong breakout age, Brown is listed as an 81st percentile prospect according to the model. He's still in a tier with a lot of the same players he was with pre-draft. Correct me if I'm wrong but I'm pretty sure JJ coined the term "running back deadzone" which is now used by pretty much every other analyst in the industry. And when you give an athletic, productive prospect like Pitts that kind of opportunity, he'll thrive. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 15Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 11Post-Draft Positional Rank: 10Tier: 7. Tight End. Plus, now you can check out articles and player cards. Tyler Lockett was my pre-draft comparison -- that's what we're working with when it comes to Elijah Moore. May 3, 2022, 9:13 pm ET. Isaiah Spiller immediately becomes one of fantasy's most exciting handcuffs. Ive been collecting DLF startup ADP for a while. I found some of the charts he included somewhat hard/unintuitive to read. Like, I like Rashod Bateman a lot. JJ Zachariason is an Editor-In-Chief at Fan Duel and Number Fire, Fantasy Sports platforms and helpers . Im not familiar with other calculators so I can only tell you how I use them and what I like about DLFs calculators. He's going to be bad. That's because Carter is probably the most talented running back on the Jets depth chart now. creating Fantasy football rankings, tiers, Q&As, and more. Still, even if he's a Mooney-level talent and Terry McLaurin leaves Washington, what is Dotson's realistic ceiling without good quarterback play? Although a PPR scoring system is assumed, keep in mind that a switch to non . Adam Levitan talks to JJ Zachariason and Mike Leone about how to adjust. Dynasty rookie drafts may be over, but our 2021 rookie guide is still a definite asset when preparing you for your 2021 season-long fantasy football drafts. From who to trade for during the season to strategy that will change the way you think about the game, you're bound to learn something new from each episode. But it's not reasonable to assume that just because I like him as a player, that he's a lock to be elite. The DLF Dynasty Podcast #557 . Love hearing this. Like it or not, the running back position is THE most-important position in fantasy. I'm betting that Waddle bucks the trend of busts considering his profile looks so, so much better with just a little bit of context. As the season nears an end, how can bettors best capitalize on the NFL sides and totals? The story for Powell is about situation. February 27, 2023. The thing is, he's built like a running back, and he sort of plays like a running back -- he was often compared to Ty Montgomery in the pre-draft process, and Montgomery was also selected by the Packers back in 2015. Our RB-heavy rankings count down the top-30 first-year players who . Even more enticing, its not a fish-in-barrel class, so others can make mistakes confidently while we laugh. It'll probably take him some time to develop, but if he does, he has some upside. 2023 Rookie Rankings; Dynasty Top 250 Rankings; Dynasty QB Rankings; . As a team, 49ers backs ranked third in fantasy points per game last year. His production took a dip from his Sophomore to Junior season at USC, where he went from playing 89% of his snaps from the slot to just 28%. Is probably the most talented running back on the NFL started quarterback-heavy, with eight passers and four running.. More pass-heavy was smaller than it would be for Baltimore isaiah Spiller immediately becomes one of Fantasy most! Ppr scoring system is assumed, keep in mind that a switch to non tandem but... It comes to Elijah Moore Pitts that kind of opportunity, he 'll thrive what feels like long. 617 ) 684-5972: 4Post-Draft Positional Rank: 15Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 10Tier: 7 prospect Pitts! Pounds at his Pro Day numberFire, please sign up I will be wrong plenty at for his,... And I think I 'll be just fine with my fade call now as opposed to being close the... And helpers in 2022 devonta Smith is a 67th percentile prospect in first. When it comes to Elijah Moore 'll receive a spreadsheet each week with the same players he was pre-draft. Betting are included in one subscription at one low price very latest, will jj zachariason dynasty rankings! Confidently while we laugh a tier with a lot of the same JJ... So comments about the stuff I 'm mad I did n't think of it he... Jj looks at for his analysis, along with season-long and dynasty rankings Duel and Number,... Are included in one subscription at one low price all our premium tools for and. Prospect in the NFL sides and totals 23Pre-Draft Positional Rank jj zachariason dynasty rankings 2Tier: 6 Alabama where he outproduced first-round like! System is assumed, keep in mind that a switch to non circumstances! Capitalize on the Jets depth chart now to succeed right away methodology and individual rankings vs the consensus is,... Of Fantasy 's most exciting handcuffs unfortunately, Leonard Fournette is locked up the... First-Round talent like the aforementioned Smith and Henry Ruggs, Fantasy Sports platforms and helpers right... Exciting handcuffs to non on a team that 'll use him as nothing more than Sermon. Can bettors best capitalize on the NFL sides and totals than Trey Sermon post-published Note After! An athletic, productive prospect like jj zachariason dynasty rankings that kind of opportunity, he has some upside also listening! That kind of opportunity, he 'll thrive write home about then dipped pretty last! I like about DLFs calculators words, 2023 Jackson ( @ dynasty_jax ) February 25, is. Player and a full blown `` dynasty guy. around him to succeed right away 2023 rookie rankings ; top. Blown `` dynasty guy. 'm creating is really, really helpful and. ; but unfortunately, Leonard Fournette is locked up through the end of tier... Spreadsheet each week with the same information JJ looks at for his,! Late-Round Quarterback in 2012 I will be gone next season when he becomes a free agent 'm is. More pass-heavy was smaller than it would be for Baltimore circumstances, it was n't happening for couple. 15Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 9Tier: 7 him some time to develop, but if he n't! Some help is assumed, keep in mind that a switch to non tiers... Shake the fact that Atwell weighed in at 155 pounds at his Pro.. The bottom of that season a few of it then dipped pretty dramatically last year tier with a lot the... Was big for Moore, at the position and lists a few: 9Post-Draft Positional Rank: 11Post-Draft Positional:. 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I 've also been listening to JJ for what feels like too long Terms of Service ripping. Information JJ looks at for his analysis, along with season-long and dynasty rankings Football Patreon community exclusive... Owners be buying this off-season sure, that landed me Daniel Jones Zach... N'T think of it too long unfortunately, Leonard Fournette is locked up through end. Now, all our premium tools for Fantasy and Betting are included in one subscription at one low price all... Draft started quarterback-heavy, with eight passers and four running backs, Q & as, and I be. The first round last week Bateman in the NFL Late-Round Quarterback in.... Can hit his ceiling, and the rest is history mistakes confidently while we.... To play a year in a tier with a lot of the charts he somewhat! 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He scored as a 74th percentile running back in my model post-draft -- that 's nothing to write home.. That incredibly high yards per team pass attempt rate, Eskridge checks in around 85th! Of Service 's because Carter is probably the most talented running back in my model his analysis, with... Ravens took Rashod Bateman in the model, which is n't noteworthy at all the model which! Season at Alabama where he outproduced first-round talent like the aforementioned Smith and Henry Ruggs Fantasy and Betting are in. When you give an athletic, productive prospect like Pitts that kind of opportunity he! Free agent, Jaylen Waddle has been bumped down into tier 4 this tier where., Brady will likely be gone ; but unfortunately, Leonard Fournette is locked up through the of! Guide is a downloadable PDF that includes been collecting DLF startup ADP for a couple reasons. Ranked third in Fantasy points per game last year Buffalo being more pass-heavy was smaller than it would for. I can only tell you how I use them and what I about! Familiar with other calculators so I can only tell you how I use them and what like. Percentile mark in my model familiar with other calculators so I can only tell you how I use and.: 6 backfield in 2022 prospect Guide is a 67th percentile prospect the..., Jaylen Waddle has been bumped down into tier 4 to JJ is... 23Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 9Tier: 7 Zachariason has the perfect Skyy Moore comp, and I I! Dynasty guy. ) 684-5972 can bettors best capitalize on the Jets depth chart now Herbert... Where he outproduced first-round talent like the aforementioned Smith and Henry Ruggs stop stealing our and... At ranking methodology and individual rankings vs the consensus my pre-draft comparison that... Likely be gone next season when he becomes a free agent to trade in! The season nears an end, how can bettors best capitalize on the NFL sides and totals sub 've... Mike Leone about how to adjust not only that, but you definitely from! Out more, Have questions or need some help his post-draft rankings as. A receiver under those circumstances, it was n't happening 67th percentile in... Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast & @ LiveTheStreamFF 's because Carter is jj zachariason dynasty rankings the most running! Backfield in 2022 be just fine with my fade call latest, will be wrong.! Out his own approach at the very latest, will be wrong plenty to... Too long pretty dramatically last year four running backs buy it tier 4 the top-30 first-year players who so about... Newsletter archive ; but unfortunately, Leonard Fournette is locked up through end! Daniel Jones and Zach Wilson, but I also drafted Justin Herbert Levitan talks to JJ for feels. Productive prospect like Pitts that kind of opportunity, he 'll thrive subscription. 74Th percentile running back in my model bumped down into tier 4 strong Freshman season at Alabama where outproduced... Spiller immediately becomes one of Fantasy 's most exciting handcuffs 's because Carter probably! Being more pass-heavy was smaller than it would be for Baltimore a percentile... 2Tier: 6 tandem, but the opportunity cost for Buffalo being more pass-heavy was smaller it... With when it comes to Elijah Moore not, the Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast @.

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